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Let us take it as a given that Sheffield United have won the League One title. Even if we win our game in hand, The Blades need to drop 6 points, possibly 7 if we consider goal difference. It just isn't happening. The race for second place is now on.
But who will come out on top in the chasing pack? Who is destine for Wembley and play-off glory? Who is missing out? Which clubs are resigned to another season in League One?
We will look at the run-in for each club from Wanderers in second to Oxford United in 9th, and discover who is finishing where come 30th April.
Wanderers
Games left: 9
Chasing pack to play: Oxford (A), Southend (A), Scunthorpe (A)
Average position of opposition: 15th
Projected points: 18
Final points total: 87
Final league position: 2nd
Wanderers will lose only once between now and the end of the season, away at Scunthorpe. However, a total of 9 points from the remaining away games and three victories at home will see us over the line.
Fleetwood Town
Games left: 8
Chasing pack to play: Oxford (A), Millwall (H)
Average position of opposition: 16th
Projected points: 17
Final points total: 85
Final league position: 3rd
Fleetwood will also lose just the once in the run-in, away at Peterborough. Three consecutive victories in the final three games of the season will see the Cod Army finish a valiant third. They'll lose to Millwall in the play-off semi final.
Bradford City
Games left: 7
Chasing pack to play: Scunthorpe (A), Oxford (H), Sheffield United (A)
Average position of opposition: 9th
Projected points: 14
Final points total: 80
Final league position: 4th
The team with the toughest run-in, Bradford will collect 14 points before their final day visit to Rochdale, where they'll lose. Finishing fourth might be a blessing in disguise. They'll see to Scunthorpe's hopes of promotion and defeat Millwall in the play-off final to join Sheffield United and Wanderers in the Championship next season.
Scunthorpe United
Games left: 7
Chasing pack to play: Bradford (H), Millwall (A), Bolton (H)
Average position of opposition: 14th
Projected points: 13
Final points total: 77
Final league position: 5th
The wheels have fallen off at Scunthorpe. They'll pick up four wins, but only a draw at Valley Parade, and losses away to Millwall and Swindon will be the end of their hopes. Play-off semi final heartbreak awaits.
Southend United
Games left: 8
Chasing pack to play: Bolton (H)
Average position of opposition: 16th
Projected points: 12
Final points total: 72
Final league position: 7th
Defeats at home to Wanderers and away at Charlton will see Phil Brown's men finish outside of the top 6.
Millwall
Games left: 10
Chasing pack to play: Sheffield United (A), Scunthorpe (H), Fleetwood (A), Oxford (H), Bristol Rovers (A)
Average position of opposition: 11th
Projected points: 15
Final points total: 74
Final league position: 6th
Millwall have plenty to do, and 5 teams around them to play. They'll pick up just 5 points from those crunch games, but it'll be enough to pip Southend to the play-offs. They'll sneak past Fleetwood in the semis, take thousands to Wembley, only to lose to the best team in the world, Bradford.
Bristol Rovers
Games left: 7
Chasing pack to play: Millwall (H)
Average position of opposition: 16th
Projected points: 12
Final points total: 69
Final league position: 9th (on GD)
Rovers will be victim of other teams around them having more games to play. They'll pick up 3 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat, but it won't be enough.
Oxford United
Games left: 9
Chasing pack to play: Bolton (H), Fleetwood (H), Bradford (A), Millwall (A)
Average position of opposition: 11th
Projected points: 14
Final points total: 69
Final league position: 8th (on GD)
They've got 9 games left, and it's in their hands with games against Wanderers, Fleetwood, Bradford and Millwall. They'll draw 3 and lose 1 of these games, falling short at the final hurdle despite a final day victory at home to Shrewsbury.
Agree? Disagree? Tell me where I'm right and wrong. Of course, when it's written down it all seems so easy. I'm sure it won't be. Fingernails at the ready, it's going to get nervy by the end of the season on 30th April.